Fidelity Magellan calls bottom in financials

Quote from vansmarket.com:

you have to understand bank stocks are as conservative and defensive as bonds.


Are you being sarcastic? C lost 50% over the last year.
 
Quote from turkeyneck:

May 2 (Bloomberg) -- Fidelity Magellan Fund bought financial stocks including JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp., leading to the $39.4 billion fund's biggest monthly gain in five years.

This is the type of nonsense you read in news media.

A gain can only be realized after they close positions. Since they decided to buy financial stocks and probably invested billions, they are the ones who mostly rallied these stocks. There is nothing mystical about that. Stocks don't go up by themselves. Now, they feed the news media with their story to pump the stocks a bit more so they can sell and record the gains. If other investors do not buy the story, they will end up with a loss.

Porbably, they will end up with a loss this time around. Credit crisis isn't over yet.

Bill
 
The may yet prove to have called the bottom, but the time for a big fund to start buying and the actual bottom may not be the same as a fund of that size has to buy when there is still liquidity i.e. generally too early. The fund is high profile enough and has the investor profile that they can withstand the drawdown from early buying.


People called the bottom of the NASDAQ all the way down. It seems the specialist distressed players are still sitting on their hands.

As for banks being as defensive as bonds, at the bottom of a severe crisis they are basically a bond portfolio as they won't lend and only put their money in Treasuries. Makes them uninteresting to buy desite low valuations because the valuations reflect the assets held which give the yield on Treasuries and no growth.
 
Quote from AAAintheBeltway:

The financial sector's earnings going forward will be crippled by their writeoffs and by stricter regulatory scrutiny. A recession won't help either.

Makes sense.

Bill
 
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