Fibs and Energy Markets

Quote from Neodude:

I would agree with you, but I've done some more digging since my initial post and it appears that some of the old Enron guard are fond of fib levels too. I haven't had a chance to talk with any of them to determine if they use them to make trading decisions, but they are definitely looking at them during the trading day. Maybe sometime this week I'll get to talk with some of the guys who worked with Louis Bacon, it would be interesting to know what they think is important.

-Neo

I have added a new, more detailed code in
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=81457
The code searches for the optimal Zig change n, from n=3% up to n=10% [you may enlarge this range but for n>10 you will have very few Peaks].
For the last 10 years of the ^NDX, the 31% of the retracement ratios d is 0.50<d<1.00 for n=10%.
If you try to narrow the range, only the 19% is between
0.25<d<0.50 for n=9%.
More detailed range gives worse results, only the 12% of the retracements is
0.60<d<0.70
for n=10%.
Some of them may be considered as 0.618, but is is just the 12% of the total retracements.
This is poor and it is impossible to use it in any serious decision making.
 
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