Fibonacci ratio query

I've done the tables again to present it a bit clearer.
upload_2023-5-2_7-56-28.png
 
Barchart.com use these numbers.
upload_2023-5-2_8-4-39.png


From Google...
"There are other important levels like 78.6% and 50%, which are not Fibonacci ratios but are nonetheless important. The 78.6% level is given by the square root of 61.8%, while the 50% level is a common convention."

"By adding 3.618 (2.618+1), the key Fibonacci extensions (above 100) are 161.8%, 261.8%, 361.8%, and 423.6%."

This value:1.618 is called Phi or the "Golden Ratio"
The inverse of the golden ratio (1.618) is 0.618, which is also used extensively in Fibonacci trading.
Common recognized ratios: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 76.4%, 100%, 127.2%, 161.8%, 261.8%, 361.8%, 423.6%
 
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For many years I'd disregarded Fibs believing they were nonsense.
Well lately I've noticed some strange price action behaviour which had me wondering if traders using Fibs were behind the moves and my initial suspicion seems to confirm it as these moves seem to coincide with Fib numbers, I've knocked up a spreadsheet and doing my own testing.

I was reading up in Investopedia about it and it explains how the ratios etc are contrived.
It appears the main ratios traders use are: 61.80% 38.20% 23.61%.
They also say 50% is not a Fib ratio.

I created a table of numbers as below.
The ratios are constructed by dividing for example 13/8, 13/5, 13/3, 13/2, 13/1 etc.
View attachment 313397

I noticed that near the top of the table 50% is a Fib number.

What also noticed is near the top of the table the ratios change from those further down.
Eg row 20-34 in the first column is 61.80% but rows 9-19 there are different % ratios.

Question: are numbers like 7.69%, 9.52%, 8.82%...etc Fib numbers but not recognized as such?
Also I'm intrigued when they say 50% is not a Fib number but it appears so in the table?

Maybe what they mean, is 50% etc are not predominant repeating Fib numbers, would that be the correct interpretation?


There are 19 trade rooms that have the word fib or Fibonacci in their name, but none of them trade and none of them have a track record. Fibonacci did not trade and 50% is not a Fibonacci number. If Fibonacci is so important or useful or applicable how come no one trades it, especially the rooms that are named after Fibonacci?
 
https://adamhgrimes.com/fibonacci-fibs/
If you start the process with any two numbers you will find the ratio between two consecutive numbers settles down to the Golden Ratio very quickly. If you don’t believe this, download the attached spreadsheet and play with different seed numbers (the yellow inputs). No matter where you start -5423452345 and .00001, or 1 and 2, a few steps into the series you will see the ratios come very close to the Golden Mean
 
I'm still in the early stages of attempting to make sense of Fibs (if possible) but looking at the below chart, how does Fibs calculate the last recent bottom which is a gnats below $124.00?
Anyone?

XLV_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_05_02_2023.png
 
Not referring to you Mickey, but I suspect many allow
back-testing software keeps them from the truth
concerning the subject.

View attachment 313479
I had a look at his web site and watched one of his videos.
He mostly devotes analysis to patterns, M's and W's and bat wing type patterns and other stuff, I made some notes then googled his patterns.
Not my cup of tea.
He mentions lots of fib ratios in his patterns and personally believe they would be difficult to code, seemed very complicated because they're all angular lines with lengths.
Reminds me of traders who fill charts with numerous indicator lines, yeah I can't trade like that.
The stuff I code is just maths, it's not squiggly patterns or indicators.
That's why I'm checking out Fibs, hoping it could add to my tools.
 
Purely out of an exercise, I have a monthly chart of wheat futures below.
Taken from the low to extreme high, Aug 2016 & Mar 2022.
Using Fib retracement, I'm looking for the bottom of the current correction.
According to the Fib level of 61.8% that would be $624.70.



upload_2023-5-4_4-22-16.png


Zooming in to a daily chart below, we are right on target for the low right now on wheat if 61.8% level holds.

upload_2023-5-4_4-27-57.png


Am I analysing this correctly?
 
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