You are trying to predict the direction of the trend, which I'm not ; these levels are just points that we look ; only if they are touched you make a decision.
With this in mind, what prevent you from taking some profit during the fall you are talking about ? All this is not in any case a SIGNAL to buy or sell ; just levels that are very likely to be touch by the price ; then it's up to the trader to : either take some profits during the price path towards these levels OR take some profits thanks to the reversal when the price touches these levels. Or both...
Please keep in min that if the price doesn't touch the levels, we do nothing. So you can see that it is not a signal, just a sort of framework from which you can developp a profitable strategy based on this information.
