Fiat currency and fractional reserve banking

Quote from Haroki:

Honestly, Iim not sure what you're trying to ask. Sorry. So take this answer for what it's worth.

It sounds like you're right as far as the pass through, if you mean that they're paying the central bank 4%?

Where I would continue to disagree with others is that the money to be loaned is created out of thin air. Banks do the pyramid or ponzi scheme, granted. Or rather it just looks like it. They take assets/promises to repay loans and loan again against that. It may be a little emotionally alarming when you think about that, but really, what is the difference between loaning out money against deposits or assets? I don't see a difference.

But this part below is why I think it's fine to do that.....

But the main point that I'm trying to get to, which I believe trefoil answered above, is - does the bank indeed make zero interest on their money after 2 yrs of 3% inlation due to the devaluation of the dollar they now receive....

This was your 1111th post, congrats! lol...

TNG
 
Quote from thenewguy:

This was your 1111th post, congrats! lol...

TNG

Must be an omen...

Sorry about the other thing too. Brain fade trying to follow the ES. :D
 
Quote from Haroki:

Must be an omen...

Sorry about the other thing too. Brain fade trying to follow the ES. :D

LOL, if it was anyone but you I'd have cared alot more....

But hey, I didn't know you were wandering these parts, must have been a shock to you to find out I'm a "conspiracy theorist", eh?

lol!

TNG
 
Quote from thenewguy:

LOL, if it was anyone but you I'd have cared alot more....

But hey, I didn't know you were wandering these parts, must have been a shock to you to find out I'm a "conspiracy theorist", eh?

lol!

TNG

Ahhhhh, it's no big deal, you guys are basically harmless. :D

Because conspiracy theories lack readily verifiable evidence, they are not taken seriously by most people.

Many people tend to respond to events or situations which have had an emotional impact upon them by trying to make sense of those events, typically in spiritual, moral, political, or scientific terms.

Events which seem to resist such interpretation—for example, because they are, in fact, unexplainable—may provoke the inquirer to look harder for a meaning, until one is reached that is capable of offering the inquirer the required emotional satisfaction.

At other times, the unfolding of complex sequences of events such as political phenomena are explainable, but not in simple terms. Conspiracy theories are often preferred by individuals as a way to understand what is happening around them without having to grasp the complexities of history and political interaction.


Conspiratorial accounts can be emotionally satisfying when they place events in a readily-understandable, moral context. The subscriber to the theory is able to assign moral responsibility for an emotionally troubling event or situation to a clearly-conceived group of individuals. Crucially, that group does not include the believer. The believer may then feel excused of any moral or political responsibility for remedying whatever institutional or societal flaw might be the actual source of the dissonance.

In the late 20th century, falling election participation and declines in other key metrics of social engagement were noted by several observers. For a prominent example, see Robert D. Putnam's Bowling Alone thesis. Those who were most influenced by this period, the so-called "Generation X," are characterized by their cynicism towards traditional institutions and authorities, offering a case example of the context of political dis-empowerment detailed above.

In that context, a typical individual will tend to be more isolated from the kinds of peer networks that grant access to broad sources of information, and may instinctively distrust any statement or claim made by certain people, media, and other authority-bearing institutions. For some individuals, the consequence may be a tendency to attribute anything bad that happens to the distrusted authority.

For relatively rare individuals, an obsessive compulsion to believe, prove or re-tell a conspiracy theory may indicate one or more of several well-understood psychological conditions, and other hypothetical ones: paranoia, denial, schizophrenia, mean world syndrome.


:p :p :p
 
Quote from Haroki:

Ahhhhh, it's no big deal, you guys are basically harmless. :D

Because conspiracy theories lack readily verifiable evidence, they are not taken seriously by most people.

Many people tend to respond to events or situations which have had an emotional impact upon them by trying to make sense of those events, typically in spiritual, moral, political, or scientific terms.

Events which seem to resist such interpretation—for example, because they are, in fact, unexplainable—may provoke the inquirer to look harder for a meaning, until one is reached that is capable of offering the inquirer the required emotional satisfaction.

At other times, the unfolding of complex sequences of events such as political phenomena are explainable, but not in simple terms. Conspiracy theories are often preferred by individuals as a way to understand what is happening around them without having to grasp the complexities of history and political interaction.


Conspiratorial accounts can be emotionally satisfying when they place events in a readily-understandable, moral context. The subscriber to the theory is able to assign moral responsibility for an emotionally troubling event or situation to a clearly-conceived group of individuals. Crucially, that group does not include the believer. The believer may then feel excused of any moral or political responsibility for remedying whatever institutional or societal flaw might be the actual source of the dissonance.

In the late 20th century, falling election participation and declines in other key metrics of social engagement were noted by several observers. For a prominent example, see Robert D. Putnam's Bowling Alone thesis. Those who were most influenced by this period, the so-called "Generation X," are characterized by their cynicism towards traditional institutions and authorities, offering a case example of the context of political dis-empowerment detailed above.

In that context, a typical individual will tend to be more isolated from the kinds of peer networks that grant access to broad sources of information, and may instinctively distrust any statement or claim made by certain people, media, and other authority-bearing institutions. For some individuals, the consequence may be a tendency to attribute anything bad that happens to the distrusted authority.

For relatively rare individuals, an obsessive compulsion to believe, prove or re-tell a conspiracy theory may indicate one or more of several well-understood psychological conditions, and other hypothetical ones: paranoia, denial, schizophrenia, mean world syndrome.


:p :p :p

LOLOL, good golly, I shouldn't have said anything. I am certainly NOT a conspiracy theorist, but I DO believe that people who are wealthly like to stay that way, just as companies who do well like to stay doing well... etc etc etc...

At any rate, what did you think about my comments above regarding your question?

I honestly can't figure out how you think you're "cheating" the bank. You get charged %6 a year on what ever the loan amount is remaining, and you're essentially saying that inflation is %3, right?

I know I'm missing something....

TNG
 
I must be too, because if the bank is making 6% on its loaned out money and inflation is at 3%, then more than likely the 10 year will be sitting at somewhere around 5.5% or so, and the 2 year will be maybe at 5. So they can borrow short, lend long, pocket the diff. Especially if they can get deposits in for free or even charge for them (checking accounts) or at the very least pay wee amounts of interest to the depositor, while lending the money out at 6 on a mortgage and 19 on a credit card.
It's what banking is all about. I don't see how they're losing.
 
Well, that's what I'm asking. I'm in agreement that the bank gets their 6%. But what I'm saying is if the dollar is devalued through inflation, what happens in real life?

Cuz check this - say you invest in a cd that gets 5%, and inflation/devaluation of your dollar is 3%. To me, you make a net of 2%, cuz that interest you earned is worth 3% less. BUT, you're still ahead....

But the reverse is not true for a 30 yr loan, cuz like in the post I put up a few pages ago, as my salary goes up to match inflation, my house payment represents less and less of my wage. So the initial $515 payment is a signicicant amount of my $3333/mo take home. But in 10 yrs, my take home is $4349/mo, in 20 is $5845/mo, and in 30 is $7855/mo. So my $515 is nothing to me, and realistically, worth nothing to the bank either.

It's the power of copounding...
 
Quote from Haroki:


But I guess where we would disagree is that the electronic "money" that the bank creates is created out of thin air, because I see that the'money' that the bank has created hasn't been created out of thin air, but represents the asset that the bank now controls - namely 'your' house, etc - which isn't really your house, it's the banks'. And I see no difference what asset backs that 'money', as long as it is backed by something.

Depending on the reserve ratio, banks create upwards of 11 dollars for every 1 dollar of currency they have on deposit.

It doesn't matter what assets those 11 dollars ultimately control. Those assets were bought from money created out of thin air.

This is legal counterfeiting and immensely profitable for banks.
 
Quote from Haroki:


And what Ronblack said about the time factor of money is a huge statement, I believe. Do you agree with what I said about repaying the 30yr loan off with devalued money? If you agree with trefoil's "yep", then one has to argue how else can a bank remain solvent, unless it's allowed to pyramid the loans? They could, I suppose, if inflation was zero, then they would be paid back with a constant dollar. But I think it's unreasonable to expect that. And I'm sure that there's other ways to achieve that, but won't try to list them ....

This is a bit of a red herring. Where does the bank get the money to buy the house in the first place?

It creates it out of thin air via fractional reserve banking.

The bank gets 11 houses free for every 1 house it 'buys' with its own reserves.

In the end, what does it matter if the bank only gets 65% of the real value of the house it bought with free money to start with?

Thats 65% of say 400K it never had on deposit. Which the bank turns around and pyramids again by a factor of 11.

Thats why inflation is largely irrelevant. Its free money to begin with. So whatever the bank gets back, its nearly all profit.
 
Quote from Haroki:



So from MY prespective, I'm giving them less and less of my net income, due to the devaluation of my dollar, but offset by my wage increase. Wouldn't the reverse be true for them? They begin to lose money every year after the 2nd since 3% is compounded annually?

No, because its free money on deposit the bank they never had.

Assuming a home owner pays more than 1/11th of a homes real value (or whatever the reserve ratio is for the bank), the bank wins.

Even if a borrower defaulted after having paid nothing and the bank sold the home for half its value, the bank still wins.

Now the bank has far more on deposit than its initial risk it can pyramid out accordingly.

Inflation matters not to a banks profit (contextually speaking). Which is why they keep making 30 year mortgages that constantly look like a paper loss after inflation.
 
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