Rates were what, 0.25% for 8 straight year? Now apparently we can't raise them fast enough?
It seems like the Fed has two speeds which seems bizarre.
Powell is forced to play catch up. They should have been raising rates a long time ago.
When is the last time we had a "healthy" recession?
Their dot plot runs on a 3 year moving average, always late to the party.Look back at my last 1000+ posts ... I have consistently yelled that rates should have been well above where they are today....they should have been well over 5 % back in 2012...they are so far behind now that the next recession/crisis will send rates straight to zero and most likely go negative as I have been predicting...they are too late now, the economy is grinding to a halt, worldwide economic slowdown is here...too late now....you will be lucky to see 3% interest rates by end of 2019...my immediate prediction would be .50%-1% before 3-4%!!!!!
Look back at my last 1000+ posts ... I have consistently yelled that rates should have been well above where they are today....they should have been well over 5 % back in 2012...they are so far behind now that the next recession/crisis will send rates straight to zero and most likely go negative as I have been predicting...they are too late now, the economy is grinding to a halt, worldwide economic slowdown is here...too late now....you will be lucky to see 3% interest rates by end of 2019...my immediate prediction would be .50%-1% before 3-4%!!!!!
The real problem isn't with Powell's Fed... it's with the Bernanke and Yellen years of ZIRP and the troubles that spawned.
Rates were what, 0.25% for 8 straight year? Now apparently we can't raise them fast enough?
It seems like the Fed has two speeds which seems bizarre.
Right, but the shameful thing is they get credit for the "booming Obama stock market" which had nothing to do with him or his policies...it was all ZIRP and QE. Yellen should've started raising rates in 2014 when she took charge (they were already overdue). Instead, she gives one token rate hike just before Obama leaves office...
In addition, raising rates as the yield curve is inverting isn't very prudent. What's more, interest on the public debt could get seriously ugly as rates increase. Again, Obama's soaring debt levels were shielded due to ZIRP.
http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2018/12/interest-due-on-us-national-debt-starts.html