This is not good. US consumers don't need a weak dollar on top of everything else. The other programs were working. Scheisse.
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Fed is buying treasuries
- Thread starter RiceRocket
- Start date
I smelled this coming. A retort:Encouraging the American consumer to buy from Asia is not a solution. Weakening the dollar and making American manufacturing competitive IS a viable solution. EVERYONE is trying to drive down their exchange rate. Stocks will dig a little dollar weakness....
Quote from RiceRocket:
This is not good. US consumers don't need a weak dollar on top of everything else. The other programs were working. Scheisse.
Most commentators seem to be in the "it's printing money" camp. The alternate view is that the Fed has lost control of the long end of the yield curve and this is the only way to sop up excess supply of long-dated Treasuries.
If that's the case, potential dollar shorts have been given a solid green light to lay out a Soros-like Break The Bank plan.
Pabst - I agree that encouraging consumption of imported goods is the wrong thing to do. I think, though, that I would go at it a little differently (if I understood your inference correctly).
Rather than focus on trying to directly manipulate dollar strength/weakness I would rather see a national trade policy that ends the unsustainable trade deficit. Not overnight, of course, that would probably be too traumatic. Just set the bounds for the game and let market forces figure out the winners and losers. This would let the dollar will weaken on its own, and more naturally.
The US economy cannot subsidy world growth forever...
If that's the case, potential dollar shorts have been given a solid green light to lay out a Soros-like Break The Bank plan.
Pabst - I agree that encouraging consumption of imported goods is the wrong thing to do. I think, though, that I would go at it a little differently (if I understood your inference correctly).
Rather than focus on trying to directly manipulate dollar strength/weakness I would rather see a national trade policy that ends the unsustainable trade deficit. Not overnight, of course, that would probably be too traumatic. Just set the bounds for the game and let market forces figure out the winners and losers. This would let the dollar will weaken on its own, and more naturally.
The US economy cannot subsidy world growth forever...
Actually I'm in the camp RC that they're motivated by protecting the long end. (a cap at 3% 10's, 4% Bond)
Steeper curve=good for banks. REAL steep curve=bad for assets. Very tricky game they're boxed into....
Steeper curve=good for banks. REAL steep curve=bad for assets. Very tricky game they're boxed into....
Quote from Random.Capital:
Most commentators seem to be in the "it's printing money" camp. The alternate view is that the Fed has lost control of the long end of the yield curve and this is the only way to sop up excess supply of long-dated Treasuries.
If that's the case, potential dollar shorts have been given a solid green light to lay out a Soros-like Break The Bank policy.
Pabst - I agree that encouraging consumption of imported goods is the wrong thing to do. I think, though, that I would go at it a little differently (if I understood your inference correctly).
Rather than focus on trying to directly manipulate dollar strength/weakness I would rather see a national trade policy that ends the unsustainable trade deficit. Not overnight, of course, that would probably be too traumatic. Just set the bounds for the game and let market forces figure out the winners and losers. This would let the dollar will weaken on its own, and more naturally.
The US economy cannot subsidy world growth forever...
Quote from Anaconda:
What?
Please explain which other programs were actually working and for whom.
I'm dying to hear this.
Asset backed lending facility, Mortgage backed securities purchases. The commercial paper market was successfully backstoped. Mortgage rates have come down substantially since November.
Quote from Random.Capital:
Mortgage rates have come down because of a massive increase in their subsidy. IMO this is not a sustainable definition of "works".
So, you support the addition of buying treasuries? My point was, that the fed was already doing more than enough, and now they have gone off the reservation.