Quote from Cheese:
Grob (Hershey) wouldnât know. The audience at ET is made up of learning amateurs; for anyone of them to make himself or herself rich from trading, that would indeed be their ultimate prize.
While uncomplicated trading is the norm for myself and others, can it be that Grob has stumbled upon it? But what on earth will he do with his vast and complex system? It includes MACD, stochastic, channels with lines going everywhere, stretch and squeeze, dominant and non-dominant mistresses, DOM, sentiment, seemingly on and on, almost everything except the kitchen sink and not forgetting the erratic contribution of raw volume, his most beloved component of all.
LOL.
There are many many ways of trading successfully. a lot of expert traders are familiar with the plans, strategies, and routines used by a full range of such successful traders. My posts make it possible to compare and contrast any of the features of these assorted approaches.
Obviously, I fit into the category of not publishing my more expert and refined approaches. This happens to be the convention of almost all expert traders and organizations.
While the SEC may have cited me repeatedly for insider trading, all they really learned was that their monitoring computers were not up to the task of differentiating whether a trader was skilled or was cheating.
Some traders reach a point of learning and practicing a given level of trading that can support some lifestyle. This is ordinarily called "full time trading". The level of such trading is about advanced beginner or intermediate.
Taking the market's offer has little to do with the list above cited by the poster. Being effective and efficient is what allows for extracting the market's offer.
Exit/entry probabilistic trading has never been effective nor efficient. At some point it may be noticed that ET does not have any forums on math or effectiveness or efficiency.
The key issues for making money devolve around sufficiency, certainty, capacity, and trading multiples of capacity, an the extent of application of capital.
Vast and complex?
What gives with this mediocre judgement?
Making money is a systemmic trading matter.
Thinking that markets gives signals is a product of studying history in a liberal arts regime. Aggregating vast collections of data is how nature makes mud and clay and puts into into sedimentary layers.
The onus on the dedicated expert is to model, develop, and hone in an exact science schema. The ONLY thing available in markets for making money is the PRESENT and the only way to get money out of markets is to extract it in segments as the market's offer acculmulates and concludes periodically.
When 6 to 8 degrees of freedom of raw data are involved, their information content is expanded to 70 degrees or so. AT THAT POINT an only at that point is the market participant able to take the measure of the market with precision and repeatability and reliability.
Markets are systems and they are dynamic and huge. There is no doubt whatsoever that with a full set of degrees of freedom, as time passes, the correct subset and the correct focus IS THE ONLY WAY to acheive systematic extraction effectiveness and efficiency.
Behavioral finance HAS MEASURED THE PERFORMANCE OF THE PARTICIPANTS FULLY. Read the overview of what is at hand. (Go to the site and read BF or BS?) As stated there, all market events fall into two categories and every event has a precedent and post event context. Logic dictates that these nodes ARE ABSOLUTELY LINKED to one another and each event is defined by three time based factors in an order.
Here is what happened over centuries of market operation.
1. Raw data was communicated.
2. Enhancement of data occurred by an order of magnitude. (70 degrees of freedom of descrete measurable high utility data)
3. Entry/exit trading based on market generated signals was discarded by those oreinted to effectivenss and efficiency.
4. Efficient and effective market participation became based on continuous participation using hold/reversal planning, strategies, and routines.
5. Extraction of the market's offer is the basis of optimization, effectiveness and efficiency.
Check around the webb and determine that most of the efforts regarding measurement, optimization effectiveness and efficiency are not encountered in any probabilistic market orientation which has as a standard the continuing market's measured offer.
