Quote from Comptalk:
If BOA, JPM, MS, C, MER, OR GS fail, we're all fucked. Not going to happen...
I put a 50/50 chance that C and BAC will need help or go under.
The other factor is that the feeding frenzy from shorts is quickly coming down to less companies to attack. It's getting easier for them as the attacks get more focused on individual companies.
http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/200...cuts-capital-needs-at-bac/?mod=googlenews_wsj
Expecting Dividend Cuts, Capital Needs at BAC
Posted by David Gaffen
Annelena Lobb has this report on a downgrade of Bank of America.
Send to: Bank of AmericaBank of America Inc. shares slipped Thursday, down 1.6%, after a hard swipe from Morgan Stanley.
Analysts at the firm downgraded Bank of America to âunderweightâ from âequal weight,â and clipped their price target to $15 a share from $33 a share, saying they expect the company to raise more capital and cut its dividend. Bank of Americaâs losses should rise with its integration of Countrywide Financial after that acquisition closed on July 1. âWe are increasing cumulative losses for BAC to 8% from 6%, mainly due to the addition of CFC,â wrote Betsy Graseck, banking analyst at Morgan Stanley.
Analysts decided the downgrade was in order after a chat with the fixed-income side. Ms. Graseck wrote that âa very large gap exists between the implied cumulative loss in mortgage assets that our fixed-income colleagues are seeing, and bank-loan values.â
The idea of rising loan losses and more capital raising led to cuts to EPS targets for other large-cap banks, too, including Citigroup, now down 0.4%. Overall, Ms. Graseck doesnât have a terribly sunny view on the banks, and she expects a number of them will need to both cut dividends and raise more money. Besides BAC, she now expects larger dividend cuts from BB&T, SunTrust, and Wachovia.