I've been doing some modelling of Facebook and, while I think the company has great vision and management, it seems very hard to justify the current price.
Even forecasting revenues >$100bn by 2021, which is about 3x current levels, it still seems to fall 30% short of the current price. Can it really justify the current price? I am neither long nor short - I'd suggest it is a risky time to be either.
The underlying model is in an excel file, happy to send on if people want to play with it. Just private message me your email address and I'll send it across.
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