Quote from trickshot:
And how many of these hedge funds have outperformed the market on say a ten year basis? Very few.
Quote from trickshot:
Most of them do not even trade direction, ever heard of algotrading and statistical arbitrage?
Very few hedge funds that trade direction have outperformed the market in the long run, thats evidence that the future cannot be predicted.
Quote from intradaybill:
Try this similar logic: very few people carried an umbrella today, that is evidence it did not rain.
Turttle trader funds have been directionally trading the market for over 20 years and have missed maybe a few quarters, barely.
There are also serious indicatons but no prof that some people experience precognition:
http://www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/...edict-market-moves-by-seeing-into-the-future/
I would not discount that either.