I more and more realise why people are so complacent towards any risk in future it is because they extrapolate the present life like a straight line, that they forget that risk burst in non linear fashion for individual person or for a whole nation or whole world. This is funny that so many people speak about chaos theory but when as to reflect that in concrete reality they just don't have the mind ability to do so. That's why successful traders for years finished broken down, a nation switch from normal state to dictature and facism etc... without people even expecting it because they refuse the only possibility of occurence even when the risk gives sign of materialisation. It's like refusing to cope with losses and let them run people let the nations the whole world run into risk.