Fading yourself as a strategy

Down at 1075 S&P I got a bit nervous and bought a small amount of puts. Normally whenever I do this, the market bottoms pretty soon after. I was just wondering, this could be a really good strategy, the "self-fade". Anyone tried doing this?
 
Quote from Ghost of Cutten:
.....this could be a really good strategy, the "self-fade".
It would only tend to "work" half of the time. You won't know which half will be "good". :confused: :( :cool:
 
Quote from nazzdack:

It would only tend to "work" half of the time. You won't know which half will be "good". :confused: :( :cool:

the key phrase is "small amount". i assume that his main position was long, so the idea is to fade one's "small nervous hedging attempts".
 
Quote from Ghost of Cutten:

Down at 1075 S&P I got a bit nervous and bought a small amount of puts. Normally whenever I do this, the market bottoms pretty soon after. I was just wondering, this could be a really good strategy, the "self-fade". Anyone tried doing this?

Wouldn't you then logically be inclined to consider fading the fade? ... it could go round in circles forever. :confused:
 
just fade your emotional instincts during market extremes

e.g. don't sell or hedge during a panic, instead take a small long position


and don't buy more when shit is flying and everyone is talking about $100 oil and S&P 1300 (e.g. two weeks ago), instead pick up some hedges for your positions or close some winners.




doing the above is a lot better than 50/50, in my experience. Even when the market collapsed in 2008, you could make a killing going long after the major extreme drops.


shit just doesnt go straight up or down, no matter how extreme the news/event/situation
 
There is some method to this madness. I sold a bit of SPY at the pre-market -1%, still long some ES. Of course, by the open all the losses were erased. Typically when I get an urge to jump in momentum the market is about to reverse, and when I'm too scared about being long mean reverting assets, they reverse
 
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