Obviously nobody has to do this, but it might be a good exercise for some of the more intelligent posters earlier in the thread.
I would like to see a graphic or flow chart of the causes and consequences that we are talking about with regards to these economic predictions. For example if step 1 is increased money supply M2 or M3(not sure if they are reporting that anymore), then the next step might have an up arrow in front of asset prices or consumer confidence or bulging eyeballs... whatever. That way each step can be dissected to see the fault lines and examined for it's plausibility.
As it is, it feels like trying to catch rain in your hands where nothing sticks and there is so much information raining down all around you.
A
I would like to see a graphic or flow chart of the causes and consequences that we are talking about with regards to these economic predictions. For example if step 1 is increased money supply M2 or M3(not sure if they are reporting that anymore), then the next step might have an up arrow in front of asset prices or consumer confidence or bulging eyeballs... whatever. That way each step can be dissected to see the fault lines and examined for it's plausibility.
As it is, it feels like trying to catch rain in your hands where nothing sticks and there is so much information raining down all around you.
A