Extreme Fear. Is This A Bottom? Charting The Virus With Options Data

Matt_ORATS

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Previously, the SPY volatility had not surpassed 2008 levels, yesterday it did with the IV as high as 85% before backing off. The other indicator that had not reached 2008 levels was the bid-ask width in IV points that did reach 2008 levels intraday before backing off. This is a sign of panic and capitulation and a sign of market bottoms. I think there could be a rally here but it feels like the worst is yet to come.
ce78f6cd869a5a6e1aea7d80f93aa9a6.png

https://gyazo.com/ce78f6cd869a5a6e1aea7d80f93aa9a6
 
yes, selling has bottomed, no we get a asymmetric buying decline. Everyone's gonna try to pick the long term bottom so the market needs to ride that one out too. So, keep having those 1:3 risk reward stops out there to make the market below 2000 :)
 
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