I have watched the trading advice of so called 'experts' for years and I have came to the conclusion the best policy is to take a contradictory position.
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/26/opinion/26Kristof.html?_r=1&emc=eta1
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/26/opinion/26Kristof.html?_r=1&emc=eta1