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Ewj: elliott wave
- Thread starter mu200411
- Start date
$XEU@130 as expected, may be 135 soon.
Quote from mu200411:09-08-12 01:19 PM
$USD Wave 2]c)5.5 at measured move, weekly MA(50) and MA(200). There may be a rebound here to new high or
a small rebound then DOWN to Wave 1]4) low near 78.
$XEU may drop to new low or drop a bit and rebound to weekly MA(50) 130 or Wave 2]4) at 136.
Looks like Gold and Silver 1 year bear market have ended. But this may depend on $USD move.
Crude Oil fifth wave just above weekly MA(50), some draw back soon.
Attachments
INDU, SPX and NASDAQ.
Is this the real break of 1-2 series Wave V]V)I3]3]3 or
the false break of Ending Diagonal Wave IV]A)IIc]5)?
The characteristics should be very different.
The underlying social mood and economy should be different too.
Gold and Silver.
May be going UP as Wave V1] if the "W" pattern is confirmed or
DOWN as Wave IV)C if the "W" pattern fails.
Is this the real break of 1-2 series Wave V]V)I3]3]3 or
the false break of Ending Diagonal Wave IV]A)IIc]5)?
The characteristics should be very different.
The underlying social mood and economy should be different too.
Gold and Silver.
May be going UP as Wave V1] if the "W" pattern is confirmed or
DOWN as Wave IV)C if the "W" pattern fails.
Attachments
Kondratiev wave
Phase B or Fall-Winter might have begun in 1999.
If gold standard was used in 1999 until now, INDU' low should be at
14198*5.5/45 = 1735.
A 90% decline in a 12-years-old Bear Market.
Sold all stocks in 1999 and bought gold then sell all gold and buy stocks at peak gold should get 1000% stocks compare to 1999.
Phase B or Fall-Winter might have begun in 1999.
If gold standard was used in 1999 until now, INDU' low should be at
14198*5.5/45 = 1735.
A 90% decline in a 12-years-old Bear Market.
Sold all stocks in 1999 and bought gold then sell all gold and buy stocks at peak gold should get 1000% stocks compare to 1999.
Attachments
$USD wave count completed, Wave 2]c)5.5 as a parabolic at support near 78.85.
$USD may go UP as Wave 3] or go DOWN a bit more to Wave 4) at 78.
$XEU has resistance at 132.5 but can go UP to Wave 4) and MA(200) near 136.
The last gap may be an Exhaustion Gap.
Crude Oil at measured move and resistance level and round number,
may go DOWN soon.
When feel insecure people sell land and buy gold which is easier to carry while moving.
$USD may go UP as Wave 3] or go DOWN a bit more to Wave 4) at 78.
$XEU has resistance at 132.5 but can go UP to Wave 4) and MA(200) near 136.
The last gap may be an Exhaustion Gap.
Crude Oil at measured move and resistance level and round number,
may go DOWN soon.
When feel insecure people sell land and buy gold which is easier to carry while moving.
Attachments
$USD went UP, $XEU and Crude Oil DOWN as expected.
RSI SELL Signals. MACD SELL Signals soon.
May be Wave 3].
$USD and $XEU first stops may be MA(200) at 80.70 and 128.42.
Crude Oil may go DOWN to measured move near $87.
Gold and Silver look like being in topping processes.
RSI and MACD SELL Signals soon.
RSI SELL Signals. MACD SELL Signals soon.
May be Wave 3].
$USD and $XEU first stops may be MA(200) at 80.70 and 128.42.
Crude Oil may go DOWN to measured move near $87.
Gold and Silver look like being in topping processes.
RSI and MACD SELL Signals soon.