Ewj: elliott wave

Quote from Mup:

popluar count that elo,

time wise I'd like the 5 to 12th of december window for an "a" wave low..

So it a little to soon for me at the moment ...

Mup, the next MAJOR Bradley Cycle date is December 14th, coinncidentally!

:p
 
Quote from Mup:

That triple 3 water fall pattern
Not to scale just to give an idea....
daily spx...

Boy, your wave pattern is completely wrong - I'm not even sure where to begin. We're in minor 5 of intermediate (3) of primary {1} of cycle wave c.
 
Quote from elovemer:



...some guy figured out the sequence nature uses to be most efficient....

....turns out the market is part of nature... and is very efficient at taking people's money.....



Quote from Billybob543:



that's mighty lazy of you..why don't you just google it...these people are trading



Quote from ed:



Come'on Elo, give that guy a break.... :D



Derrick,

Welcome to Mu's thread. :)



I think you've got to do some reading to find the answer to your question. An interesting introduction to EW can be found at the below link :



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elliott_wave_principle





Quote from Mup:



Hi derrick



"Brief" and "Elliott Wave " are not two words that go together easily... Its probably best for a weekend discussion while enjoying a Guinness or Mount Gay Special Reserve with a Cohiba Siglo VI :D



In the mean time

ed's link is a good place to start...



Also, dare I say, EWI has some useful stuff on their site :eek: :)



http://www.elliottwave.net/educational/basictenets/basics1.htm



On how Elliott Wave helps, I don;t know any other method that gave us a hint of this weeks price action, last week...



For bread and butter everyday trading, elo hits the nail on the head with ALT's & Measured Moves ...:)



Quote from mu200411:



Derrick,

Here is a concise one page lesson about

Elliott Wave Theory

by Investopedia Staff, (Investopedia.com) (Contact Author | Biography)

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/111401.asp

Here is one sentence EWP;

"The Market moves UP and DOWN as somewhat equal waves, 5 waves in the direction of the trend, UP or DOWN, short or long term, and 3 waves counter trend, with numerous variations :cool: ."

If you make the count right you can predict the likelihood of the change in trend, i.e., the high and low of the move, and together with risk management earn a few bugs :confused: .

The best part is you don't have to have a PhD. If you can count 1 to 5 and write a,b,c,d,e you can enjoy EW :D .

Mu.





Thanks to you all for your answer, am going through the links. Have seen people attack Technical Analysis in other threads, why so? It looks good, like a scientific method.
 
Quote from Derrick1983:

Thanks to you all for your answer, am going through the links. Have seen people attack Technical Analysis in other threads, why so? It looks good, like a scientific method.
the technical analysis versus price action(price action is a new term,used to be tape reading ) argument has been around for 50 years or longer, only since the electronic trading has the tech analysis had a chance at even being half right, it always worked,it was always hard to understand because no one took the time to learn it, when trading in a pit you didnt need it because you could read order flow, electronically that is a lot harder to do,so evryone has been forced to learn tech
 
The first BUY and SELL Signals were false signals :( .
The second and third BUY Signals are profitable :) .
The Market may go onward to 8187, 820, 1414 as expected :D .
Quote from mu200411:11-22-08 01:05 AM

Stalled at resistance level. It is a bad sign :( .
More DOWNWARD pressure :eek: . May be Sell Signal :mad: .
Quote from mu200411:11-22-08 12:43 AM

A higher low then a higher high = BUY signal :) .
May be "onward and upward" for the Bulls to 8187, 820, 1414 :D .
 
Quote from mu200411:

The first BUY and SELL Signals were false signals :( .
The second and third BUY Signals are profitable :) .
The Market may go onward to 8187, 820, 1414 as expected :D .

Based on your earlier chart, once we hit 820, will be set for a big .V decline to new lows?
 
The Bulls' count.
Wave 3) might have ended at yesterday Bear Trap, 7449, 741, 1295 :).
The Market is heading to 9653, 1007, 1785 :D .
Note.
Why does the chart not stick?
 
Quote from mu200411:

According to Elliott (not Prechter)
Super-cycle wave I] 1783 – 1835 = 52 years long
Super-cycle wave II] 1835 – 1857 = 22 years long
Super-cycle wave III] 1857 – 1929 = 72 years long
Super-cycle wave IV] 1929 – 1942 = 13 years triangle wave
If Super-cycle wave V] is 70 years long, it will end in 2012 as Elliott predicted.
Only 5 years left to enjoy the market!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:eek:
Centenary Wave correction will be greater than the corrections after 1835 and 1929

The Japanese Super-cycle wave V] might have been 47 years long, hence the 80% correction of the Nikkei from ~ 39,000 in 1989 to ~ 7600 in 2003

In my opinion i think that is too long. The most common movement of Elliot Wave is around 5 candlestick on the monthly time frame which means that is only 5 months before any major retracement take place.
 
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