Here is scenario #1 my preferred count because the timeframe to form wave #2 is now equal to the timeframe of the wave I have labeled 4 and this weeks rally has stalled at the 38.2 retracement of the Oct. 11 decline.
Attached is the scenario 1 chart... notice how todays high in the S&P parallels the wave IV high as I have labeled it. It has been my experience that the IV and 4 waves often peak at similar(1489-1490) price levels. It is possible that a wave 5 decline is in order but Mup thinks we have already completed 5 waves down(scenario 2) and he is better at EW than myself so the next day or two should be very interesting!