You need to think about this a bit.

Quote from Lefty62151:
Once again, you need to actually think. Your "estimate" of implied volatility is incorrect. Instead of offering a diversion, how about dealing with the issue.
Go to IVolatility.com and look up the correct intraday implied volatility. Plug in the correct volatility and do the math.
Your equation is known to math majors as a particle density equation. In the world of finance it is used (when it is written correctly) as an expression of stochastic vol. Here is the equation correctly re-written.
dV = a(V - V)dt + EV dz
My suggestion is you take a moment to think.![]()
I am guessing that you will be going back to your day job selling office supplies.Quote from Lefty62151:
I am a person with the correct data. Apparently reuters and bloomberg dont provide accurate intraday data to you.
Intraday vol for MWD on a 10 basis is 17.97%. On a 20 day basis it is 29.44.
So you pay for Reuters and Bloomberg both, but cannot quote accurate intraday vol. Who are trying to kid. and you ask if I'm on crack. You are a poser.
Now that we have established that, I am going back on vacation.
Thanks again for the comedy routineI am guessing that you will be going back to your day job selling office supplies.
Those who want to get the data (free) can go to www. Ivolatility.com
Lefty
Quote from Lefty62151:
Re-read your own posts. you offered MWD as an example.
Now as to your comment about variance. I did derive the equation and you are correct. I did not look closely at it (as I should have) the error is mine. I mistook it for an equation I use often. The equation I offered however is correct as written. To verify simply copy and google or find a standard text on Stochastic Volatilty. This is first year stuff.
When you are right, you are right.
Also, sorry about the "poser" comment. I would like to have more patience with people, and this is not the way to learn that. I apologize.
Good luck trading everyone.
Lefty.