Everyone is so smart now no one tries to pick a top

TimtheEnchanter said:
Be in 100-percent in stocks unhedged now especially in momentum stocks is just plain stupid. Traders may get away with it but investors are a different story.
You can just buy the dip proportionately to your account size.
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All my positions are unhedged. Doesn't really matter when I have taken care of the risk management with proper position sizing and trading with the trend. That said, I only commit 10% of my capital at any given time. One more risk management tool I use to reduce risk. My positions now are both short term (call and put options) and long term (stocks). If a stock is trending, does it really matter if you hold for a shorter or longer time frame? Not really. Both positions could still be profitable because both are aligned with the major trend.
 
smallfil said:
Like I said before on another thread, chicken littles have lost every single time they predicted a market crash. By now, stockmarket 50 and chicken littles 0. Good for entertainment value though. The chicken littles will be right when the stockmarket does in fact crash. 99.9% of the time, they will be on the wrong side of the trend because they do not know any better.
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NOT a crash but UDOW lost50% in one week /LOL THEY split it but traders did not like that much.:caution::caution::caution::caution::caution::caution:,:caution::caution:
Gasoline is going down a bit also where i live. I like XOM+ MRO gas but they are too hi priced, this week\ the smaller oil companies are sellin' gas cheaper\ polar bear priced in gasoline .............................................
 
murray t turtle said:
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NOT a crash but UDOW lost50% in one week /LOL THEY split it but traders did not like that much.:caution::caution::caution::caution::caution::caution:,:caution::caution:
Gasoline is going down a bit also where i live. I like XOM+ MRO gas but they are too hi priced, this week\ the smaller oil companies are sellin' gas cheaper\ polar bear priced in gasoline .............................................
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Wait, wasn't it literally split in two, with the holders holding 2x the number of shares at 1/2 the price? That is not "losing" 50% lol!
 
With markets all near highs why is the VIX so high? In November 2017 the VIX hit a low of 8.56 right before it skyrocketed to 50+ in February 2018.

Is the VIX at 19 because like a lot of traders here nobody really trusts it to be real?
 
nitrene said:
...In November 2017 the VIX hit a low of 8.56 right before it skyrocketed to 50+ in February 2018.

Is the VIX at 19 because like a lot of traders here nobody really trusts it to be real?
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Simply put, the more OI there is in options, the higher the VIX will be. Have you heard of a firm called Robinhood? Back in 2017 nobody else did, either. Oh, and there was this bosom-buddy pair called Powell/Trump, and a social media platform called Twitter. You can look them up, symbol is TWTR I believe.
 
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