$EURUSD

  1. Raoul Pal‏@RaoulGMI 6h6 hours ago



    $EURUSD Seems like a near perfect set up to establish a test short. Stop loss is close, giving a great risk reward. DeMark has a daily 9 too

    C-LgAw6XYAAr6Df.jpg
 
Darn, that is a GOOD trade!

I'm short EURUSD at 1.0862, stop at 1.0922...60 pips plus slippage which could be quite a bit.

Technically, although it has been in an uptrend for some time, today it hit previous highs and couldn't stay there, indicating a possible change in trend...also big gap all the way to 1.0779

Fundamentally, we have loose monetary policy in Europe (the Thursday meeting could change that, but i doubt it) compared to tightening in the US. Also Trump is announcing some tax change on Wednesday which may be good for the dollar.
 
I would start to short European equities on Macron win as I expect the opposite reaction from markets contrary to widespread beliefs his victory will spur the rally further.
 
The Euro is looking quite strong at the moment, in particular the EUR/AUD cross.
 
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