Correction: FF futures are based on fed funds effective, not tgt.Quote from cdcaveman:
so FF futures.. or fed funds rate futures.. are futures on the fomc target.. you trade those against treasuries or against Eurodollars..
is this like the whole RAte to price thing that makes it hard to trade.. you wanna trade rate to rate ,instead of price to rate?
Quote from Martinghoul:
Correction: FF futures are based on fed funds effective, not tgt.
Well, you don't really have a choice when trading bond futures, 'cause they are quoted in price. You could always convert the price to rate for everything you trade and always think of yields, rather than prices.
You can, except that rates might actually rise (or at least the mkt might think so).Quote from cdcaveman:
So in theory could you say put 500k or 250k in an account.. Then buy Eurodollars and bear the interest rate volatility to make two or four times the implied rate for 12 months by using the leverage of these futures... ??? Anyone
Quote from Martinghoul:
You can, except that rates might actually rise (or at least the mkt might think so).
Fly and condors, yes... As to the outright long trade, you can think of it as a terminal rate bet. So, let's say you bot U6 Eurodollars. If by the end of 2016 rates are still at 0, you stand to make a lot of money (if we forget about mtm volatility).Quote from cdcaveman:
So you not actually making a leveraged interest rate.. Your just slowly rolling off the yield curve.. In the rare case short term goes over long.. You lose... Hence fly's and condors are lower vol with a more curve specific expression...