Hi ss, as jay said the puts closed at 13 and as you said the trade's credit was 20. Still profitable but if it gets stopped out soon it will be a losing trade.
incidentally, for those of you observing the options movement with me, the premiums seem to drop off rapidly the further out of the money the strikes are. While this is not unusual, and characteristic of options, it appears much more pronounced than the sp for example.
As many of us know, sp puts are often worth twice the value of calls when otm. When looking at the eurofx option prices I would probably conclude it is like looking at the sp with call prices on either side instead of put prices on either side, since they appear comparable. This is a punctuation of another point, however, and it illustrates how completely over valued index put prices are.
If otm options are underpriced in any capacity then risk is not being compensated for and long strangles would be more beneficial over the long term, even if the win rate is less than 30%. It would be difficult to trade psychologically though. At this time I still feel the strangle writer has the edge and will continue to test with single contract sizes.
Any input from fx options traders, on or off exchange, is appreciated.