Eur/USD

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After closing a nice long, I've gone short at the 1.2281 area. This move looks overdone, and a tad stupid given all the "rumors" flying around.
 
Solid buying in the form of a few mid east names? Easily overcome if the tide turns. Those names have been buying that range since December.

Here's why I did what I did.
 

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I think the hourlies will have to fall to a neutral level, so this will result in a retracement. I am looking to buy on dips and have limit orders of 1.222 and 1.7635 on GBP/USD to take me long again (not sure they'll get hit though).
The real truth in todays action will be when european trader's return tomorrow.
I believe the trend is up though for the next few sessions at least.
 
Stop was hit overnight at 1.2250.

Not sure I agree at all with the above poster's analysis, so will reset shorts on further failures at 1.2280
 
If the data sends price south to 1.2207 then this is a buy for my methodology, otherwise any break above 1.2261 is a buy.


Topside Targets

1.2406
1.2383
1.2333
1.2295

Below 2207 and I would be short.

Good luck today everyone.

DRT
 
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