Same old reasons - rumors, nuclear wars, trichet, gold, moon, tides, diversification, etc.....
A variety of
reasons given for the good performance of the Euro overnight, some was old news
such as the UAE raising its Euro weighting whilst other reasons given were
politicking from the White House over John Snow/strong dollar policy which was
denied. Also mentioned were geo political concerns, when it was announced Iran
is to commenced war games in the Persian Gulf next month plus ECB's Trichet
spoke hawkishly last night, reiterating the bank's price stability focus. You
should also add to this list that Gold jumped $13 and the market was short Euro.
Whatever the reason for last nights move it does appear to be a move of
substance. Whilst the market has been content all year to play the 1.18/1.23
range the moves from one end of the range to the other appear to be happening
more quickly and perhaps the breakout is close. As a lot of traders have burnt
their fingers trying to preempt the breakout the market will remain tentative
until it is actually upon us. For today Asia should trade quietly but another
attempt at the topside later tonight beckons.