Eur/usd short term market content prediction

[zzz123]

View attachment 303195

ECB still has more work to do in taming inflation compared to the FED. So I'll like to stick with the presumption that this rally can go higher and maybe fueled once we start to see significant decrease in the Ukraine war or loosening of jobs in the US becomes apparent and we're far from that especially for the latter.


Bearish trade most likely would occur considering markets have to retrace but definitely not long term. Maybe a few days

Good thinking sir, to some degree, I agree with your fundamental analysis, but every time I pay special attention to these, I get burned badly, I feel like you leave a very important part of your analysis out
Eur/usd, to a large degree, is a speculation market, with fundamental play as a baseline, the rest up to the market psycho, if you put that into context, I feel eur will go much low, maybe lower than your imagination, like the dip in oil, who can imagine that would happen
Of course, fundamental play a very important role, but all the event you mentioned is just not big enough, for example, the fed drop rate to zero, and the euro can print dollars, it is kind of hard, but if the eur declare united with Russia as one country that should work

 

[Yomi0o0]

The

Good thinking sir, to some degree, I agree with your fundamental analysis, but every time I pay special attention to these, I get burned badly, I feel like you leave a very important part of your analysis out
Eur/usd, to a large degree, is a speculation market, with fundamental play as a baseline, the rest up to the market psycho, if you put that into context, I feel eur will go much low, maybe lower than your imagination, like the dip in oil, who can imagine that would happen
Of course, fundamental play a very important role, but all the event you mentioned is just not big enough, for example, the fed drop rate to zero, and the euro can print dollars, it is kind of hard, but if the eur declare united with Russia as one country that should work

Drop in the price of oil was due to decreasing demand and exacerbating high prices globally, so pretty much everyone knew about that.
Raising rates isn't really an event let's say compared to meetings or speeches and rate hikes are still ongoing. It being not big enough would not be the reason for it not affecting the eurusd spot price but probably all future hikes have been priced in.

It's definitely not something to overlook

 

[Yomi0o0]

I think there are still too many bulls who are willing to buy. I expect to see this pair go higher over the next week or two.

Do you use fundamentals

 

[zzz123]

The

Drop in the price of oil was due to decreasing demand and exacerbating high prices globally, so pretty much everyone knew about that.
Raising rates isn't really an event let's say compared to meetings or speeches and rate hikes are still ongoing. It being not big enough would not be the reason for it not affecting the eurusd spot price but probably all future hikes have been priced in.

It's not something to overlook

But the drop in oil is so low, i suspect the fundamentals can support that, but i might be wrong as always, i will change my view if that is the case.

 

[Yomi0o0]

But the drop in oil is so low, i suspect the fundamentals can support that, but i might be wrong as always, i will change my view if that is the case.

Would love to trade with you if that wouldn't be an issue.
I have a server where analysis are done on assets

 

[zzz123]

Would love to trade with you if that wouldn't be an issue.
I have a server where analysis are done on assets

Please follow my post here for another one or two months, I only post here for about two weeks, and made some predictions, I would like to follow through, and see how predictions lead to.
As for eur, I would suggest staying on the sideline for a while, if you are a eur bull you will not miss a lot.

 

[Yomi0o0]

Please follow my post here for another one or two months, I only post here for about two weeks, and made some predictions, I would like to follow through, and see how predictions lead to.
As for eur, I would suggest staying on the sideline for a while, if you are a eur bull you will not miss a lot.

Would you like to join my discord server.
There are a lot of posts that could better analysis

 

[zzz123]

Would you like to join my discord server.
There are a lot of posts that could better analysis

Not now, but thanks.

 

[Yomi0o0]

Not now, but thanks.

No problem

 

[Yomi0o0]

Not now, but thanks.

The EUR index have been having problems going over the 200ema for over 4 weeks now