Hi Arco, most indicators do look bullish, however, this cross inparticular has a nasty habit of violent moves that unwind many indicators with one daily move. On top of that it was used a proxy for oil during the runup over the last 2 years and has printed lifetime highs in the face of a 20% correction in oil. Not to mention it was used as a substitute for the yuan with an inverted correlation. Something has to give....my bet is eur/jpy. FWIW, I am also short gbp/jpy and cad/jpy, as I cannot believe the flagrant manipulation of statistics by the Japanese govt to weaken the yen. They are trying their hardest to hide an elephant of a recovery. And finally, the record number of yen shorts according to the CFTC reports must be unwound at some point...
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