EUR JPY options pair trade

[curtisho]

the correlation between EURO and Yen is quite high, as you may see from the attached graph, the rate of change (ROC) of EUR (in pink) is declining FASTER than Yen's (in purple). If one thinks that either EUR or Yen is going to down, do you think pair trade strategy will work?

If EUR goes down, long EUR put (ROC is higher), short JPY put (lower ROC allows us to take advantage from theta).

 

[curtisho]

attached image

 

[optionking]

Sound method.. I hardly trade Yen though, always stick to eur/usd these days.

 

[sle]

Quote from curtisho:
the correlation between EURO and Yen is quite high, as you may see from the attached graph, the rate of change (ROC) of EUR (in pink) is declining FASTER than Yen's (in purple). If one thinks that either EUR or Yen is going to down, do you think pair trade strategy will work?

In my experience, for conditional trades to work, you have to have a view on the level of the underlying. Do you think that in a sell-off Yen is going to outperform EUR? Also, would you do this currency hedge ratio neutral and if so, what hedge ratio would you use?