Quote from Ivanovich:
RFT - I'd be very careful about calling a top here. The Euro benefits from irrational bouts of exuberance, and I think this is one of those. The Euro absolutely shouldn't be gaining here, but it is. One would think the pound would gain faster, but again, it's not. It's almost as if investors have forgiven any downturn in the EZ, but penalized the UK for it's recession. Stupidity, as usual.
I think what we're seeing is a (temporary?) repricing of inflation right now. IE, commodities, and as a result, the Euro, beginning to think of what happens after we're out of the current downturn.
If it proves to not be temporary, then we'll undoubtably see a run back to the 1.34-6 area.