ES Journal Archive (2011)

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Quote from JoshDance:

This would be quite easy to back-test... have you done it? Of course it will not be profitable over any significant period of time as it's too easy, but just curious as to how much one would lose doing this.

This method may or may not work, but you can't say it can't work because it's too easy !!!
 
Quote from Visaria:

This method may or may not work, but you can't say it can't work because it's too easy !!!

Well it may be a general statement, but any method which is a "buy at X time, sell at Y time" will not work over a long time because the market simply does not allow things like this to be profitable. When something becomes so easily exploitable that enough people do it, then it ceases to become an edge and fails. There is no "easy" money gimmick that will work.
 
Quote from JoshDance:

Well it may be a general statement, but any method which is a "buy at X time, sell at Y time" will not work over a long time because the market simply does not allow things like this to be profitable. When something becomes so easily exploitable that enough people do it, then it ceases to become an edge and fails. There is no "easy" money gimmick that will work.

Would disagree with your reasoning. How do you know if there are enough people doing such a method so that it will not work any more?
 
Quote from Visaria:

Would disagree with your reasoning. How do you know if there are enough people doing such a method so that it will not work any more?

I'll use another line of reasoning -- give me one example of such a strategy that is profitable over a 1-2 year period. It only proves that it can be done, not that it can't, I know.
 
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