ES Journal Archive (2011)

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It was a day of moderate-range consolidation, overall.

Many tradeable swings inside a session with no trend. Any skilled trader had ample opportunity to cash in, anyone who did not cash in has ample time and opportunity to accquire those skills.

CM RoadMap objectives were not fulfilled today on either side. Look for the ES to trade => 1150 or <= 1094 on Monday.

Statistical odds of one side or the other are above 90% to happen. If price is headed one direction or the other, don't fade it... ride it.

If indeed there is any "easy" money to be made in this profession, it comes from harnessing a market's directional waves... not standing on the jagged rocks in front of them.
 

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<i>"Instead of thinking about where you are, think about where you want to be. It takes twenty years of hard work to become an overnight success" <b> {Diana Rankin}</i></b>

That concludes my week of tech analysis contributions here. Everything I had to share has been shared. Those who wish to use these price-action tools are now well equipped to do so.

Trading ES futures can be a very expensive game or a very lucrative profession. The bad news is, you get to choose which it will be for yourself. The good news is, you get to control which it will be for yourself. Your fate lies squarely in your own hands.

Who else can you trust more, and what more can you ask for in life than that?

Maybe success will take a bit longer than you believe you can tolerate. Maybe it will come with some struggles you think you can barely survive. Maybe you will work longer and harder than you ever thought necessary, or even humanly possible.

But the light at the end of each journey's tunnel can be a blindingly bright illumination that shines upon you each week while writing your own paycheck from the market itself.

To those who are serious about this business as your profession, you have my utmost admiration and well wishes. I'll see you at the top, and I'm buying first rounds when you get there :cool:
 

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Quote from austinp:



<i>"Instead of thinking about where you are, think about where you want to be. It takes twenty years of hard work to become an overnight success" <b> {Diana Rankin}</i></b>

That concludes my week of tech analysis contributions here. Everything I had to share has been shared. Those who wish to use these price-action tools are now well equipped to do so.

Trading ES futures can be a very expensive game or a very lucrative profession. The bad news is, you get to choose which it will be for yourself. The good news is, you get to control which it will be for yourself. Your fate lies squarely in your own hands.

Who else can you trust more, and what more can you ask for in life than that?

Maybe success will take a bit longer than you believe you can tolerate. Maybe it will come with some struggles you think you can barely survive. Maybe you will work longer and harder than you ever thought necessary, or even humanly possible.

But the light at the end of each journey's tunnel can be a blindingly bright illumination that shines upon you each week while writing your own paycheck from the market itself.

To those who are serious about this business as your profession, you have my utmost admiration and well wishes. I'll see you at the top, and I'm buying first rounds when you get there :cool:

Very inspirational.

Power to you.
 
Interesting Week. Thursdays lows (weekly lows) were broken for a short period today and subsequently strongly defended eventually closing above. Thus, next week looking for a retrace to touch ~1160 which corresponds to 50% of this weeks range and also the lower boundary flag trendline. If it fails at that level, then I'm bearish to 1040 which is a measure move of this weeks range and coincidently, Volente's H&S target. The downtrend would be thorougly intact but getting below 1000 may take a while. Of course, this entire post is rather meaningless :p

Have a nice weekend!
 

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cnbc :p

“We look like we can be shaping up for a 'Thursday-Monday [scenario]',” Cashin told CNBC.

Based on historical trading patterns, Cashin explained that a "Thursday-Monday scenario" occurs when there’s a huge decline on Thursday, followed by volatile markets the next day and throughout the weekend into the start of the following week.

“Friday tends to be choppy—but it’s not going to be quite as bad as what you saw yesterday,” said Cashin. “And then you go into the weekend with great hopes and what often happens is they open the trapdoor on Monday, which could be if nothing comes out of Europe and you get capitulation [cnbc explains] selling.”

“It usually ends on Monday, sometimes it spills into Tuesday morning, but from that comes a massive rally, so we’ll look for capitulation as a possibility,” said Cashin.

Cashin suggested looking at Treasury prices [cnbc explains] as a market indicator for investors who want to re-enter the market. Treasury prices turned lower Friday, as stock prices moved in and out of positive territory, easing the bid for safe-haven U.S. debt.
 
And just like that, we have erased most of the losses from Thursday in 35 mns.
Support will be 50% of the gap, ES 1141, below that 1134.25/1136.

They want to crucify all the retail traders that followed Art Cashin and CNBC and went short Friday.
 
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