ES Journal Archive (2011)

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Quote from iloveoptions:

Upset that I missed getting out of the last position by 2 ticks! This is the third time it happens to me in a week. Quite frustrating to say the least.

Bidding 1295.75 to add to the last long position I'm carrying, even though I prefer to be short.

Your last sentence caught my attention...

If you preferred to be short, why did you not exit your long and enter a short? :)
 
Quote from Laissez Faire:

Your last sentence caught my attention...

If you preferred to be short, why did you not exit your long and enter a short? :)

Best question of the day. I made two mistakes from last night, can you spot them??
 
Quote from iloveoptions:

Based on BE for the entire position, I lost -3.98 on the last 3 adds. BE still at 1283.98 on the other 2.

Asking 1290 on the final two.

Adding 2 more at 1262.5
 
Quote from iloveoptions:

Best question of the day. I made two mistakes from last night, can you spot them??

1) You did not exit all of your position on the open.

2) You averaged down on the rest of your position when we fell off a cliff instead of being more flexible with your target and getting filled at a slightly lower price. Hey, it was only one tick :)

Is that two? :p

Of course, hindsight is always 20/20 and I would have extended my stop with one point if I knew we would not trade above 1310 :p

My two cents is that it seems very dangerous to average down in the current market conditions. If the market drops further (who knows), it may get very ugly.
 
Quote from FreakofNature:

1 car Long 79, Add 1 64 (unfilled) Stop 49

Target 1 above 1330

Target 2 above 1370

FoN

Awesome, I was wondering where the swing longs were hiding :cool:
 
Quote from Laissez Faire:

1) You did not exit all of your position on the open.

2) You averaged down on the rest of your position when we fell off a cliff instead of being more flexible with your target and getting filled at a slightly lower price. Hey, it was only one tick :)

Is that two? :p

Of course, hindsight is always 20/20 and I would have extended my stop with one point if I knew we would not trade above 1310 :p

My two cents is that it seems very dangerous to average down in the current market conditions. If the market drops further (who knows), it may get very ugly.

Yes with hindsight, I should've exited all around 1309.5 :)

But without it and realistically, the first mistake is that I violated rule #1; never leave a position on regardless of how small it is, without a trailing stop. Specially when your bias regarding the market has changed. As I explained last night, mine did.

Rule #2: Never forget rule # 1 :p

Averaging down was not the real problem, even though it didn't help. I currently hold an 8% position size from a 20% size I was carrying during the day. So I am actually welcoming a bigger drop so I can accumulate at a much lower price, at least I hope so.
 
Quote from Laissez Faire:

I generally do not have an issue with getting stopped out, but it is extremely annoying when the market only trades 3 ticks against me before reversing. If it traded 10 handles against me, it would be a lot easier to handle :)

Sick volatility today for sure. Just now opened my charts. Still on "vacation" :)


You chased price and had a poor entry on the move down and had your stop near a R20 from 1288.5.




I posted last night about 1313 area being a max high before a fall.
 
Quote from volente_00:

Anyone else worried about what will happen if we don't reach agreement by aug 2 ?

I'm not a permabear but as a realist you have to wonder how bad the panic will be.


Seasonality coupled with that massive h&S does not bode well for the bull case.



200 day looms at 1272 -1278 cash depending on which one you follow


If we breach this then look out below.



Even if they come to an agreement by the deadline, one has to wonder who will be buying after the short aqueeze materializes




Nice of them to finally test the 200 day ema at 1276 cash
 
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