ES Journal Archive (2011)

Status
Not open for further replies.
Quote from eudaemon:

LF: Are you actually executing these fast one to two point trades or in simulator?. It must be quite a challenge to do that from Norway, unless you have a server in Chicago.

Have been posting live trades this week. Usually mention when it`s sim.

I barely have time to blink before the order pops up in my IB window :) Zero slippage, using limit orders much of the time.

Actually, I have never talked to IB whether it`s a potential issue, but I do believe I asked Mirus Futures about it back in the day and they said it would not be a problem.

I do believe it might be an issue if I place market orders in a fast market, but usually my orders are resting at IB`s servers in advance.
 
Quote from NoDoji:

Why did you pay three commissions to capture 2.5 pts when your initial entry and target gave you 3 pts with one commission?

I know I sound snotty with this post, but when you put on a trade with a target and there's no reason to exit the trade, why not hold for your target (or better)?

XXXOOO

:)

Hey! Don`t be snotty! I already took care of this myself in my daily post-trade analysis and self-loathing ritual :D

Besides, where were you on Monday when I took a 0,5 point profit, just to see my original idea play out and move +5 points to where I had anticipated it would go? :p

In all seriousness, it is a little complicated.

As you know, I started out with a tendency cut my winners very short.

Then, after reading some of the advice BigHog gave to you in your old journal, I started relaxing through the retraces and accepting some heat on my trades, trusting my targets. The result of this was that I caught some relatively big winners. +5 points.

The flipside of this was that I started to push for profits that were not there. I saw a whole shitload of trades turn from as much as +4 points and into a breakeven or a loss. That was my last losing streak.

So, now I`m trying to find a middle ground. Trail stops should let me catch the occasional big winner, without risking winners to turn into losers. I`m also at equity lows, so I guess I`m trading a little scared and defensively.

As an example, today I was considering to cash in @ 1323,50 for +1,5 , since that was minor support, but I talked myself out of it, looking for that lower target. After some retraces, I decided that I would not risk taking a loss, so I locked in 1 point and got stopped out. Shortly after, the market went down.

The best thing would have been to take profits when I first planned to do so and then re-enter when price retraced. Alternatively, sit through the re-traces, use the original stop and trust that your target is hit.

I think that for me and at this point, it is better to ring the register and maintain some consistency. I also like the idea of getting out and re-entering, especially since the ES usually retraces.
 
Maybe it would help to do some stat analysis on the average profit your setups tend to provide, and that can give a place to be taking profit, or at least start looking for signals that the trend might be over?
 
Quote from Laissez Faire:

As you know, I started out with a tendency cut my winners very short.

I know it well, cut your profits short and let your losses run. Been there, done that, NO more !
 
Quote from bigsnack:

Maybe it would help to do some stat analysis on the average profit your setups tend to provide, and that can give a place to be taking profit, or at least start looking for signals that the trend might be over?

I agree 100%.


This is why you should keep a journal of your trades. Try it for 1 month and see what percent of trades would have hit your target compared to how many would have resulted in your stop being hit. Once you get a reference then you can start to adjust parameters.
 
Looks like it wants to push upto the 1330's-40's soon. Would like to exit my long on a big spike up, maybe on the NFP number.
 
Quote from pauk:

Looks like it wants to push upto the 1330's-40's soon. Would like to exit my long on a big spike up, maybe on the NFP number.


Market is being set up for a pullback to 1285 - 1300 from 27-40 ES.


Last time they sold the news


Month before that we ended flat on the report.
 
Quote from pauk:

dipping here - could be a long opportunity?
edit: long:-1325

See if we can get a nice spike up soon. Im looking to exit this at maybe 1335.
 
Quote from pauk:

See if we can get a nice spike up soon. Im looking to exit this at maybe 1335.

Good luck.
Flat here. Waiting for a bargain still.
Most news is given a positive spin by the media and we nearly always rally, although, news events are also the only time when the market has a chance of dropping a fair bit just in case a God aweful number comes out etc - so bad that it cant be given a positive spin.
Hope it works out for you.
We'll probably just rally as usual, but i'd rather stay out just in case.
Cheers.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top