Quote from Pekelo:
I will do the summary at the day's end. So let's see so far in January:
EMG : 4 signals, no trades, BA 0.625%, P/L 0 pt
BA is batting average, when the market moves in his way even if no fill.
As I mentioned earlier, his BA is getting down to 50% since the summer when he was batting 80+ %. .625 is 5/8, 2 good, 1 bad and 1 so-so.
EMGi: 4 trades, W/L/BE: 1/2/1, P/L: -0.5 pt
The 2 times when the positioned moved 1.5-2 pts in favour, I didn't take profits, because I don't want to mess with the target, when it is only a few pts away.Try to keep it simple, unless it moves deep in the money...
After 4 signals, we are almost even. Here is my expectation/guess:
1. If he keeps the BA high with a decent fill average, the inverse system will outperform him by 3-5 times.
2. If BA is around 50% but still decent fills, the inverse system still makes 100% more than him.
3. If the BA gets low and no fills like until now, then the inverse will underperform, but it will also show that his system is pretty much unprofitable/very low return.