Quote from austinp:
Actually, the market doesn't know anything at all, right now today. That's why indexes are seven weeks into a clear consolidation mode with no direction or trend.
That is clearly not what I said. Read again: what we know, it knows. So there is no sense in trying to get ahead of the curve. But there are very good odds that the market priced in the Greek default in August and possibly even a mild US recession. Anything worse has not been priced in, but betting on that before it happens is foolish.
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