ES Journal Archive (2011)
- Thread starter Buy1Sell2
- Start date
- Status
The only time I saw this pattern with OEX options (and only OEX) was in December of last year. Just my observation. I will wait for Tuesday to get away from op-ex and confirm. Frankly, it makes little difference either way to me, since I daytrade and take it day by day. However, I always like to be ready for a reversal that no one believes in (like the January rally) and profit from it by going a little wider than usual. We will see.
Thank you.
Your question made me look up my journal just as much out of my own curiosity as to answer your question. I started trading the ES part-time in November 2010, strictly trading the afternoon session and missing out on the open 90% of the days. This Friday was my 100th day of trading the ES, including both live and simulator trading, so I`m still by definition just a newbie, so please do not pay too much attention to my posts. I still see myself as a humble student of the markets and I`m very well aware that last weeks performance was just that. One week. Next week will be completely independent of last week and if I lose control and get overconfident, I can quickly get reckless and give a away a big chunk of my account in a short time.
That said, I do feel that what accelerated my learning process in this latest phase of my development was backtesting lots of charts manually, bar-by-bar and honing my method that way. If you can`t "trade profitably" with a chart that you scroll at your own comfort, you don`t stand a chance in a live environment. Learn to observe the patterns off-line, then simulator and then with real money
Quote from Laissez Faire:
. If you can`t "trade profitably" with a chart that you scroll at your own comfort, you don`t stand a chance in a live environment. Learn to observe the patterns off-line, then simulator and then with real money
Very well put. And the truth is now there are no excuses. Ninja Trader is free in simulation, IB has a solid demo in real time (if you have a funded account) in which you can plug in the free version of Multi-charts etc..
If ES can't hold 1111.75, looking for a drop below 1100 in the RTH session on Monday and a move down to 1080 for cash, which could be trend ending if on lower volume than the ES flush low last week to 1077. Potential rally into the 26th after that.
1111.75 is key in the ETH session.
ZN level to watch is 131'11, NQ 2016 followed by 1986 if ES loses 1111.75 again.
1111.75 is key in the ETH session.
ZN level to watch is 131'11, NQ 2016 followed by 1986 if ES loses 1111.75 again.
Buyers stepped in right away on that opening drop to 1111.25, just under my support level of 1111.75. When that happens at the open on Sunday night, it often holds, but these days, nothing is even remotely predictable. Shorts are nervous, much more so than remaining longs at this stage of the game. Bonds turn negative, JPY/USD negative. We will see if Hong Kong session holds the lows. However, as long as NQ keeps stalling at 2039.75, expecting a big push up is not realistic. A buying opp is right around the corner, but it would be much wiser to let cash test the lows before committing in any meaningful way.
- Status