Fed, problem is that you will average against big move at least twice, you shown us that. And if you look at this coil I am sure we will get -30 point day very soon. Than you will refuse take your loss, and during few days we will be - 100 - what will wipe your account if you are trading future. Excuse me, buying tops and averaging in position wiped far greater traders than you. Are you really prepared for stress when
averaged in position will drop in your face?
Dislaimer. I am averaging myself in. But always have : 1. prepared region where I will do it. 2./ I am doing it only if I see "recovery" 3./ I have "disaster stop" 4./ I am averading much more agresively in short positions 5./ Because we are are somewhere close to top I open long positions half as big as normally and will average only once in it, no exception.
6. This is shit market anyway. Usual double sided healthy trading is absenting here what means we will get second "flash crash" - sooner or later. I just pray I will be not long in that moment. But I can not imagine to be in with overleveraged position.