Yeah, SPY blew through his upper barrier by the equivalent of 17.3 on SPX and we still have a week to go. Anyone want to be against a touch 112 on SPY next week? Two handles above the top of his BS OI range.
That's the problem, everyone has an opinion, but nobody has any skin in the game. 70% on what? A variance of 3, 4, 5 handles? wtf does that prove? ANYONE can price better using implied strikes from DNT or range-exotics, but it only works until it doesn't. IOW, it's nothing resembling an edge.
He nailed the lower boundary and got taken on the upper by nearly 20 SPX, and the cycle isn't over.