ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

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Quote from ASusilovic:

Of course, the higher the closing price - the better for the sell-off tomorrow...

IF... always IF... :D

Just pulling your leg, but imagine if tomorrow we beat expectations...
 
Lost $ 37 today on futures, 2 trades both shorts. Market looked weak, and was hoping to get a good short in before a break to the downside at 1121.50.

Issue with this trade was that although some of my indicators were at top of range, they never turned lower. Also, since market was in a tight 1 point range, I thought that was a resistance area, but fibs did not confirm that was resistance, I had small stop in case market broke to upside instead.

After market broke to upside, I looked at a very high resistance around 1125 which I thought with the negative report this morning, market would not be able to breach, and I could make some money.

Again, I was wrong, as market topped out 1 point below at 1124, and indicators finally turned lower AFTER price had already fallen. However, with indicators now turned down, I went short again with a very small target and stop, and target did get hit before market rallied once more.

Now, I did not go long at target price although that would have made around 2 points, because with everything now turned lower, it was very possible for a hard sell off, but that could come on Friday. I am using puts, since if report is not that bad, then market could either just not go down, or even rally more and with puts, the stop is hard and can not be jumped like on futures.

Quote from oraclewizard77:

I bought Aug SPY puts so we will see what happens.
 
Quote from Airwaves:

may aswell.
Long 1121.25

out here for a little +3 :)

I should really hold it as there is guaranteed upside tomorrow, but I am just hoping we get a little dip so that i can get long at a better price.

Hopefully I wont regret closing it here.

Limit in to buy again at 1119

cheers
 
Quote from Eko_Trader:

If they beat consensus tomorrow, they will take this thing to the moon!!! Bears aren't in the way at all.

Smart bears know better than to get in the way when the "Rule of Testing the High" is in play.

1130 is REQUIRED BY SEC REGULATIONS!
 
Quote from Pekelo:

I can't believe he finally got it wrong. Somebody should check it, but I think this was his first wrong call in the last 5+ weeks....

Pekelo, this is serious. Wasn't his only other wrong call ominously close to the May "flash crash"???
 
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