ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

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Quote from volente_00:

expected quicker follow thru on downside after blowing stops

I'm feelin a wave. Hope it's not a TDsunami, but the short bus is filled with freeloaders who won't hang on as the boat flips and rights itself again

half back= 10.5, the bears grab the railing; 12.5 they give up; 14.25 they get a sex change.
 
Advances to Declines are pretty bearish so shorts not feeling any pain. Too much technical damage to long positions, no reports coming out to justify a reversal.

Quote from volente_00:

expected quicker follow thru on downside after blowing stops


shorts now trapped
 
Quote from volente_00:

expected quicker follow thru on downside after blowing stops


shorts now trapped

I am really enjoying this thread and learning a lot. Go easy on me guys if I have a dumb question or two.
 
Quote from oraclewizard77:

Advances to Declines are pretty bearish so shorts not feeling any pain. Too much technical damage to long positions, no reports coming out to justify a reversal.

no follow thru even after blowing stops indicates shorts lack conviction. long stops are blown, those who shorted breakdown are in, who is now left to bring new selling ?


Volume needs to confirm the down move, usually on a breakdown you will get a big bar triggering lots of program selling.


If volume does not confirm we are going to trade 08-09 again today.
 
Vol will confirm after the fact. If we close negative today especially closer to the bottom, I expect fear selling on Wed. I am not expecting a major sell off today.

Quote from volente_00:

no follow thru even after blowing stops indicates shorts lack conviction. long stops are blown, those who shorted breakdown are in, who is now left to bring new selling ?


Volume needs to confirm the down move, usually on a breakdown you will get a big bar triggering lots of program selling.


If volume does not confirm we are going to trade 08-09 again today.
 
Quote from oraclewizard77:

Vol will confirm after the fact. If we close negative today especially closer to the bottom, I expect fear selling on Wed. I am not expecting a major sell off today.


day has been low volume

If you want follow thru then volume has to confirm


I suspect we close higher than 03 today





edit



Descending triangle looks like we breakdown here on volume spike
 
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