Quote from petty1978:
Also, most of my ES [intra-day] trading signals are short. I have found that intra-price action is much more reliable on the short side (based on my techniques). I have been doing this since early 2007. However, my models have changed and become much simpler.
80% of the time I am in a short trade, intra-day only [Swing wise it varies]. I trade intra-day mostly on reversion techniques. This coupled with being short 80% of the time, almost always keeps me out of the market or the right side during huge, fast drops [yeah the markets melt up but differently than drops]. It is just my preference. I trade for others, thus contracts being traded can get up there and this protects capital from "The Unknown". It makes me and them feel all warm and fuzzy.
I trade 6 signals, and I trade those each on the 30m bar, 5m bar and I trade one of them on the 1m bar as well. I do this for various reasons, one being I am concerned in protecting capital and preventing large losses. I don't want to take any portion of capital and have it trading any one signal no matter how reliable it is. Everything is gets evenly spread out and I am heavily bent on letting statistics create my profit curve.
I could care less if I catch huge unexpected gains, I never "ride" out a move...I trade year to year off of ranges that are predetermined by previous ranges...its systematic and it allows me to project profits for me and clients and easily determine maximum losses...this allows me to run a real business from erratic "unpredictable" markets.