Now (11:44am) we have the typical ES conundrum.
Price is stalled in a channel whose high is lower than the high established at 6:50. Whilst the bar close band is higher than that at 6:50 this is not unusual.
To all intent, we have a Top failure, except that "the longs" have the ball and we are heading into lunchtime.
The question we ask ourselves is not whether the next break is long or short but critically where are we placing our enter stops and our cover stops and where do we rotate if price moves against our position.