ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

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Quote from gkramer:

This is not a market that wants to go up soon.
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LMAO. That meager attempt to head north out of the open was sad. The TICK said it all and allowed me to load the boat at 84. Question is, do I exit my final 1/4 here or 66? ;-)

Good trading.
 
long-term trend followers about to throw in the towel....

models about to reverse to short equities and long dollars....

2 months of big drawdowns already, on average 15-20% below high water mark....

unwind of momentum and carry trade....

1st quarter GS prop desk profits will be CTA's losses....

Can you smell blood?
 
will a real down move begin without filling the gap from yesterday? obviously we've had plenty of unfilled gaps on the way up - so just wondering opinions on this.
 
question is do they respect todays support and sell off again tommorrow and monday ,or do they continue today, uvol /dvol ratio is smelling sour, ym has room down to 9990 and nq 1738
 
Quote from ammo:

bigb, the one a couple pages back ,its invalid if the top 3 and bottom 3 don't line up as a widening channel,correct?
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not really..
the WW is typically an ascending wedge [bearish]
or
descending wedge [bullish]

this 1 was descending - so bullish
 

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Quote from Brendan R:

long-term trend followers about to throw in the towel....

models about to reverse to short equities and long dollars....

2 months of big drawdowns already, on average 15-20% below high water mark....

unwind of momentum and carry trade....

1st quarter GS prop desk profits will be CTA's losses....

Can you smell blood?
More...

Lately, from GS :

European credit and equity are both attractive

We remain constructive on both European credit and equity, expecting a total return of 6.6% in EUR IG credit, 10.3% in EUR HY credit and 22% in equities this year. This positive outlook is supported by our analysis of the credit and equity risk premia, which both remain elevated relative to history, reflecting attractive valuations that can support returns.
 
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