ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

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Quote from Buy1Sell2:

I am speaking about things that I have learned from years of study and experience.


You are speaking about what you read on the internet and in books which is purely hypthetical theory and does not relate to day trading in today's markets.
 
Quote from volente_00:



This example has proven that scaling out is superior to all in all

????
Scaling has already been proven to be inferior. This is a discussion for that thread. I will not discuss further here.
 
Quote from Trvlwanderer:

Nice job...you beat me to the punch.

Those extra profits sitting on top of your base can give a psychological sense that you can take extra risk and somehow you have "house money" to play with.

Great advice volente


Thanks for the advice.
I made it to $12,600 before giving it all back already once, so I visited this issue for the first time about 2 weeks ago. We actually came to the same conclusion as I definitely have felt a sense of playing with "house money" which kept me from being as defensive in my trading.
We decided to use 1/3 of the profits to fund my Roth IRA, 1/3 to fund her Roth IRA, and 1/3 to keep in the account; but we haven't set up the Roth IRAs at IB yet.
Anyone else do something similar?
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

---Option prices are a result of ES prices. ----ES prices are not a result of option prices---. When the ES price closes close to where someone using options for prediction thinks it will, it constitutes a false confirmation of their belief. --Das ist ja ein zufall-- Good trading to all-- Ishmael:)

With all due respect, options aren't just mere derivatives, they are *Rights* to own a security/future. The more rights that are available on the board (open interest) the more of an impact it can have on the security/futures it's derived from, more so when they are heavily concentrated around ATM and ITM, and have just as equal impact when market makers are involved. The relationship of the ITM open interest to the float of a security has shown in many situations to have a great impact on the security's behavior and movement in the last few weeks of OE. So when you create more rights out of thin air on a scarce security for example, and there's only 10 million shares available for that security, and some entity decides to buy 1000 ITM options on that security, they have in effect created new rights on a security that's already scarce in existence or is competing with current security holders (both long and short). Thus, options *do not* trade in a vacuum. The market is interconnected. Keep in mind that options that are out of the money by 2 standard deviations have little impact on the movement of the market and the aggressive need to manipulate it. :)
 
Man, should have put my money where my mouth was...

We might go to last week's low, but I have no idea where this is going.

Hope today's an SDD, makes planning for tomorrow a lot easier (I wish for 2 sequential downgaps).
 
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