ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

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Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Option interest has very very little to do with the direction of ES prices.--Ishmael:)

You're right - but it can have a ton to do with SPX prices...and the underlyings comprising it.
 
06-15-09 07:48 AM

Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Short 20 here at 934.75 basis Sept 09.
Initial stop 1028.00



---Will stay short here for the moment. There is a strong possibility of a large pullback here.
---Protective buy stop lowered to 929.75
 
Quote from riskymove:

You're right - but it can have a ton to do with SPX prices...and the underlyings comprising it.

Option interest analysis falls into the category of "too much information" just like volume analysis. --Ishmael:)
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Option interest analysis falls into the category of "too much information" just like volume analysis. --Ishmael:)

It may for some but that is an opinion not a fact correct? If you can use that information to your advantage and profit from it - small or large - then it is useful information. If it clutters your thought process and overloads your internal system, then it is no good to you. Suffice it to say that it is helpful for some and not for other depending upon their method/strategy. :)
 
sh 08.25, fed x eARNINGS AND FUTURE qrtr outlook were not good, should get a dip in djt which is hovering undering a broken supp line.............out 04.75
 
FDX - Fugly

Euro yen - ugly again

And now this - S&P Downgrades, Revises Outlooks On 22 U.S. Banks

Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it lowered its ratings and revised its outlooks on 22 rated U.S. banks. "... The actions reflect our belief that operating conditions for the industry will become less favorable than they were in the past, characterized by greater volatility in financial markets during credit cycles, and tighter regulatory supervision. The changes also reflect our ongoing broad-ranging reassessment of industry risk for U.S. financial institutions. Our overall assessment of the U.S. banking industry incorporates the following key points: The industry is now in a transition and will likely undergo material structural changes; the loss content of loan portfolios should increase, but recent capital rebuilding should help banks defray these losses; stress tests point to more pain in the future; we don't view regional banks as being highly systemically important; and potential losses could increase beyond our current expectations... 'We believe the banking industry is undergoing a structural transformation that may include radical changes with permanent repercussions' said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Rodrigo Quintanilla. 'Financial institutions are now shedding balance-sheet risk and altering funding profiles and strategies for the marketplace's new reality. Such a transition period justifies lower ratings as industry players implement changes." Possible changes include increased regulatory oversight and lower profitability. In addition, we reassessed the relative creditworthiness of many institutions based on their abilities to deal with the increased risks during this transition period. "We believe some firms may be better able to weather the risks ahead than others," Mr. Quintanilla added. "In the long term, we could foresee ourselves raising ratings if lower earnings and reduced risk are accompanied by stronger risk-adjusted capital and effective governance." As a result of the downgrades this week, as well as those since mid-2007, the counterparty ratings on U.S. banks (at the operating subsidiary level) have fallen by an average of two notches, to 'BBB+' today from 'A' before the crisis began in June 2007. However, said Mr. Quintanilla, "the high number of firms with negative outlooks suggests that the ratings could still decline if the credit cycle is longer and/or deeper."
 
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