ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

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Quote from Nagelis:

For B1S2:

Elliott wave master Bob Prechter is closing his 18 month holding short SnP position here...

http://www.elliottwave.com/single-i..._the_Biggest_Trades_of_All_Time.aspx?code=cga


DOES ANYONE KNOW ANYONE WHO TOOK THAT TRADE?
ANY EVIDENCE THAT PRECHTER RECOMMENDED THIS TRADE?


Time to 'Cover' One of the

Biggest Trades of All Time

At the end of trading on Monday, Feb. 23, 2009, Robert Prechter closed the most successful trading recommendation of his 30-year career. His advice to "cover" the position came near the end of the trading day, when subscribers received the February 2009 issue of his Elliott Wave Theorist. This closed a “fully leveraged short position” he recommended to Theorist subscribers on July 17, 2007, when the S&P was at 1550. At the time of publication on Monday, Feb. 23, the S&P was trading below 750.

One measure of the value of this trade is the S&P mini futures contract, where each point is worth $50. A gain of 800 points on one contract equals $40,000; 10 contracts would be $400,000; 100 contracts $4 million. And so on.

A gain of 800 points in 19 months is a historical trade that, to our knowledge, has never happened before and might never happen again.
 
doesn't Prechter have one of the worst track records out there? I forgot where I saw that but he was at or near the bottom. does this one trade bring him up to break-even now? i don't think so.
 
Hasn't Prechter been bearish on stocks since 87?

Regardless, have to admire staying power like that. Short thru the bounce up into Oct 07, short thru the 200 point bounce on Oct 10-14 and all the other bounces.
 
Quote from brocklanders:

doesn't Prechter have one of the worst track records out there? I forgot where I saw that but he was at or near the bottom. does this one trade bring him up to break-even now? i don't think so.

He may well have indeed. I'm not an Elliot wave follower at all. It's only with hindsight that things can be classified according to his theories - imho. But many ppl i know swear by e-waves...
 
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