Problem is that we can be topping (I do not know but it is quite possible). Even island reversal is real danger.
I am using "averaging in" strategy myself, but retacement somewhere
to 60-70 area is well possible, it will be no black swan.
Keep position during 70 point retracement looks to me by daytrading a bit contraproductive.
We can break up, thats true. But in such case we will go as minimum to 45, even more probably to 60. It will be enough time take part of that movement AFTER it will start. We are just bellow serious resistance and I do not want guess if we have or have not enough fuel break it.