ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from Lawrence Chan:

B1S2,

You mentioned you will go long if longer term chart (daily or higher timeframe) gives you a signal.

From your chart, is it likely a long signal can happen in these 2 days as US election day is tomorrow?

My charts from daily and up are all neutralized.
i.e. can be sideway or ready to dump again.

It would be unlikely that a longer term buy signal would be created in the next two days. So far, all we have had is a bounce signal in a downtrending market. Pekelo's BB would confirm that. Any upward momentum will be eventually stifled. If I were to hazard a guess, I would say that we will perhaps get an initial bounce no matter who is elected and the market will then sag again later this year or early next. This would be especially true if Obama were elected. The markets will be supported better by a McCain victory which is more likely that folks think. The bounce that we have right now is simply short covering as an Obama victory has already been priced in at least short term. My long term feel is that the SP has a very good chance of falling to the vicinity of 200 within the next 3 years. :)
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

My long term feel is that the SP has a very good chance of falling to the vicinity of 200 within the next 3 years. :)



:eek:


200 sounds generous, why not 0 as the target ?
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Can't happen. The sidelines cash will come in and eventually win the day


If we go from 960 to 200 or 80% more down from here, I don't think there will be much sideline cash left to come in.
 
Quote from volente_00:

If we go from 960 to 200 or 80% more down from here, I don't think there will be much sideline cash left to come in.

The money may go out of SP, but it does not disappear. It goes to the sidelines or is put to use elsewhere. Most likely though it goes to the sidelines in the hands of relatively few--ie the smart money. Then when the cycle completes itself, it is put back in the system by those few.

Cash is King
 
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