ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from Smeagol1996:

Why do I even consider the comments of ppl trying to call tops on a 400+ rally..regardless of low volume. friggin moronic & I'm glad I paid $$ for it.

Disclaimer... Rock34748 is still new and slowly losing money. My posts stem from a need for accountability, part of my psychology training I guess.

Anyway, if you haven't checked out Pekelo's ADU (All Day Up) thread you might consider it. You would understand where he is coming from with what he calls ADU's. After today it could be a good read/study.

Good trading. :)
 
Quote from pulsescan:

Today's Price Points

ES Z8 (Emini S&P 500 Futures)
= (1st) Short @ 1112.50 Target 1072.25 Stop 1162.75 (order not placed yet)

(2nd) Short @ 1168.75 Target 1072.25 Stop 10pts (order not placed yet)

3rd Resistance 1345.75
2nd Resistance 1243.25
1st Resistance 1174.75
*Intraday Support/Resistance = 1140.50


:cool:

Reason: Talking through the trade

Market Overview:

Congress is out due to the Jewish holiday and will be back on Thursday to vote on the bill ahead of the House re-vote. Most of the uncertainty has evaporated from the markets i.e. we now know that the House could not pass the bill so the world economy now has fear coming into play. I want to remind you that this is the best time to be a trader as the volatility becomes high and profits can add up quickly. The system will look to sell any attempt at a rally. If the Bill does pass it will only allow for a rally that could be sustained until some time after the election only. The market is long overdue for a sharp correction. We still have a little over 2,000 more points to go on the Dow before a bottom can be put in. Make no mistake - WE ARE IN A BEAR MARKET! This market could last for atleast 10 years depending on how fast the Fed makes a decision to allow the markets to trade normally without Gov't intervention. The more market manipulation by the Fed, the longer the market will take to sell off and recover. The more Fed intervention, the harder the fall in the market. I could say a great deal more but I will not bore you with any more details at this time.


Price levels held great today. No trading as it is my B-day:)
Will look to consider short tonight depending on how the market trades after 6pm EST tonigh.
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Still looking short. No trades today.

Do you look at a chart like today and ever say "man why didn't I make money?" I almost kept my bearish bias in check. But didn't. I knew the error, but thought "I have to make something today." Two problems, top guessing and I knew my stop point (hard and fast because of capital preserv) was too tight for this volatility. One trade and stopped out.

Anyway, good control on your part.
 
Quote from pclark:

Quick question guys. I am very new to trading the ES. I have been watching it for about a month and paper trading. I have had fairly good success but still not as good as I would like and had a question.

I know economic situation and have noticed the last week and especially the last couple of days. It just seems blah w/not much action. I realize this is due to what is going on but I guess I am wondering if it is the lack of volume to be more specific? Are more people just waiting it out to see what is going to happen? I don't have a reference past about a month or so ago so I don't know what the action was like before this.

Thanks.....

Paul

Not much action??? We should all be on our knees thanking the almighty trading Gods that we have this volatility ... 40 pts in RTH today, 80+ yesterday.

Regarding volume - I don't watch it much, but this is a Jewish holiday week, if that helps you.
 
does anyone know why the news keep saying the vote is on thursday? I thought today is the jewish holiday and tomorrow (wed) is when they will vote in the senate.
 
Quote from pclark:

I know economic situation and have noticed the last week and especially the last couple of days. It just seems blah w/not much action.

??? Yesterday there was a ~100pt range and today a 50pt range. Not much action?
 
Quote from rock34748:

Do you look at a chart like today and ever say "man why didn't I make money?" I almost kept my bearish bias in check. But didn't. I knew the error, but thought "I have to make something today." Two problems, top guessing and I knew my stop point (hard and fast because of capital preserv) was too tight for this volatility. One trade and stopped out.

Anyway, good control on your part.

The key to my trading is patience. I stay within my rules and I squelch the tendency to chase. Thank you for the nice comments. I must point out that I only look for obvious signals, otherwise I don't trade.
Note:trend has not yet turned upwards, so I cannot look long yet--I can only look short.
 
So B1S2, is 1201 (1204?) still the price point before you change your mind?

People have asked for analysis instead of just trades. When I do post it, I then get grief. Go figure.

People would like both analysis and trades. Or at least I do.
 
Quote from Decel:

So B1S2, is 1201 (1204?) still the price point before you change your mind?



People would like both analysis and trades. Or at least I do.

Yes. It is 1204 right now. The 1201 was on the last oscillation.--- Or, I need a longer term buy signal which I have not received yet.--- If I miss it, so what--
 
Quote from newguy05:

does anyone know why the news keep saying the vote is on thursday? I thought today is the jewish holiday and tomorrow (wed) is when they will vote in the senate.

does anyone know why noone is factoring in wed (tomorrow) for any news announcement?

also you guys are making this too complicated.

mon: no bailout, market tanked
tues: bailout looks very likely to get passed again, market rallied on expectation
rest of this week:
1) bailout fails again: market gaps down once more
2) bailout passes and inline with expectation: market rallies back to 1200s
3) bailout passes and not what market wants: market sideway/falls a bit

that's it. I will say it again all those resistence levels are useless THIS WEEK, how many resistence did we blow through today? how many support did we gap pass yesterday?
 
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